Research Study Financial Crises on Durban’s ...

URL: https://edge.durban/dataset/69b30e59-3cc3-4d43-9d10-c19297991d66/resource/c64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3/download/final-v3-research-study-financial-crises-on-durbans-economy-.pdf

This paper investigates the long-term impacts of financial crises on economic growth in Durban, South Africa, using quarterly data spanning from 1995Q1 to 2024Q1. Applying a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) framework. The study captures the evolving dynamic responses of key economic indicators, including GDP growth, gross fixed capital formation, employment, and household consumption, to shocks in a financial crisis index. Findings reveal that financial shocks induce pronounced hysteresis effects characterized by an initial transient increase in GDP followed by significant contractions and sluggish recovery, highlighting persistent structural scarring.

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Metadata and Additional Info

Pole Hodnota
Datum aktualizace dat Červenec 9, 2025
Datum aktualizace metadat Červenec 9, 2025
Vytvořeno Červenec 9, 2025
Formát application/pdf
Licence Creative Commons Attribution
createdpřed 27 dny
formatPDF
idc64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3
last modifiedpřed 27 dny
mimetypeapplication/pdf
on same domainTrue
package id69b30e59-3cc3-4d43-9d10-c19297991d66
position39
revision id115cac5f-dc4b-4488-b028-ca9a9efa1a1e
size607 KiB
stateactive
url typeupload