Research Study Financial Crises on Durban’s ...

URL: https://edge.durban/dataset/69b30e59-3cc3-4d43-9d10-c19297991d66/resource/c64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3/download/final-v3-research-study-financial-crises-on-durbans-economy-.pdf

This paper investigates the long-term impacts of financial crises on economic growth in Durban, South Africa, using quarterly data spanning from 1995Q1 to 2024Q1. Applying a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) framework. The study captures the evolving dynamic responses of key economic indicators, including GDP growth, gross fixed capital formation, employment, and household consumption, to shocks in a financial crisis index. Findings reveal that financial shocks induce pronounced hysteresis effects characterized by an initial transient increase in GDP followed by significant contractions and sluggish recovery, highlighting persistent structural scarring.

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Mező Érték
Data last updated 2025 Július 9
Metadata last updated 2025 Július 9
Created 2025 Július 9
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Licenc Creative Commons Attribution
created1 month ago
formatPDF
idc64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3
last modified1 month ago
mimetypeapplication/pdf
on same domainTrue
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position39
revision id115cac5f-dc4b-4488-b028-ca9a9efa1a1e
size607 KiB
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