Research Study Financial Crises on Durban’s ...

URL: https://edge.durban/dataset/69b30e59-3cc3-4d43-9d10-c19297991d66/resource/c64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3/download/final-v3-research-study-financial-crises-on-durbans-economy-.pdf

This paper investigates the long-term impacts of financial crises on economic growth in Durban, South Africa, using quarterly data spanning from 1995Q1 to 2024Q1. Applying a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) framework. The study captures the evolving dynamic responses of key economic indicators, including GDP growth, gross fixed capital formation, employment, and household consumption, to shocks in a financial crisis index. Findings reveal that financial shocks induce pronounced hysteresis effects characterized by an initial transient increase in GDP followed by significant contractions and sluggish recovery, highlighting persistent structural scarring.

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Data last updated July 9, 2025
Metadata last updated July 9, 2025
Created July 9, 2025
Format application/pdf
License Creative Commons Attribution
created9 days ago
formatPDF
idc64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3
last modified9 days ago
mimetypeapplication/pdf
on same domainTrue
package id69b30e59-3cc3-4d43-9d10-c19297991d66
position39
revision id115cac5f-dc4b-4488-b028-ca9a9efa1a1e
size607 KiB
stateactive
url typeupload